The eurozone will expand its fiscal stance at precisely the same time as the US is engaging in a fiscal contraction. This is one of a number of reasons why we should expect a much stronger EUR/USD exchange rate.
This week has seen the US set the European agenda, giving its Nato allies a choice between a real war or a trade war.
This storm was a warning shot. Saying it was unprecedented won’t wash with citizens, instead pushing them towards the false comfort of fake news.
As economic growth continues to underwhelm and bond markets flex their unpredictability, a new deal with Europe must offer a tantalising prospect to Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
The far-right’s leading position in Austria illustrates the global trend also emerging in Germany and could shed light on possible European futures.
Europe is reeling from the Draghi report, which pitches heavy business regulation against competitiveness. In this new race with the US, Ireland wants to carve out a niche again.
French bond rate spreads could blow out if Emmanuel Macron’s high-risk election gamble doesn’t work out. This time, the euro is safe, however.
Trying to balance strict border controls with a duty to treat asylum seekers humanely seems nearly impossible with a right-learning parliament. Should they come to power, Sinn Féin will have no choice but to deal with these realities.
Separate EU attempts at corporation tax harmonisation and capital markets integration are nothing new. The suggestion that they might be linked is, but it didn’t seem to stick.
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