As I sat in the car watching my son’s under-14 football training, I felt like I was having an out-of-body experience. It was the first week of March 2020. I had just spent the previous half-hour on the phone with Kevin Cunningham, my friend and former partner in IrelandThinks, the research firm we co-founded. He was increasingly dismayed by the data on the spread of the novel coronavirus and had been sharing his analysis with me in the hope that I would bring it to the attention of people in government. The early months of 2020 had already been a…

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